Sorry to jump into this thread so late.
But, this is the eligibilty(sp?) as of right now:
Clinched Spots
1 -- Tony Stewart 3268 Leader 23 1 5 11 15
2 -- Jimmie Johnson 3142 -126 23 1 2 9 15
Currently IN the Chase
3 -- Greg Biffle 3016 -252 23 0 5 7 12
4 -- Rusty Wallace 2979 -289 23 0 0 5 12
5 -- Mark Martin 2899 -369 23 0 0 6 12
6 +1 Jeremy Mayfield 2869 -399 23 0 1 4 6
7 -1 Kurt Busch 2848 -420 23 0 2 7 12
8 -- Ryan Newman 2773 -495 23 5 0 5 10
9 +1 Carl Edwards 2758 -510 23 0 2 7 9
10 -1 Jamie McMurray 2702 -566 23 1 0 4 7
Still have a chance
11 +1 Dale Jarrett 2651 -617 23 1 0 3 5
12 +1 Jeff Gordon 2644 -624 23 2 3 5 8
13 -2 Elliott Sadler 2636 -632 23 2 0 1 9
14 -- Kevin Harvick 2620 -648 23 1 1 3 6
15 +1 Matt Kenseth 2598 -670 23 0 0 4 8
16 -1 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 2544 -724 23 0 1 5 9
17 -- Joe Nemechek 2533 -735 23 1 0 1 6
18 -- Brian Vickers 2487 -781 23 1 0 4 8
19 -- Kasey Kahne 2405 -863 23 2 1 5 6
20 +1 Michael Waltrip 2364 -904 23 1 0 3 7
21 +1 Jeff Burton 2359 -909 23 0 0 1 2
22 -2 Kyle Busch* 2329 -939 23 1 0 5 8
And, everyone else is mathematically out.
I voted for Martin, BTW seeing at this point he is I believe the furthest up in the points out of the choices. It hurts that it appears Junior is not gonna make the cut.